Although Democrats presently control the White House and both branches of Congress, they have only a narrow majority in the U.S. Senate — and their majority in the U.S. House of Representatives is smaller than it was before the 2020 election. Democratic pollster Stanley Greenberg, in a recent Democracy Corps/Greenberg Research memo, has a warning for fellow Democrats: Republicans will be seriously motivated going into the 2022 midterms — and former President Donald Trump will do everything he can to whip them into a frenzy.
Greenberg, who heads Democracy Corps with veteran Democratic strategist James Carville, explains, “We conducted a large, mostly cell phone survey with an oversample of Republicans in the 2022 battleground for the U.S. Senate, governorships, and House, and it is painfully clear Donald Trump, Lindsey Graham, and Kevin McCarthy know their party. The Trump loyalists who strongly approve of (Trump) are two-thirds of those who identify as, ‘Republican.'”
According to Greenberg, “The survey also finds that the critical bloc of non-Trump conservatives and moderates is only a quarter of the battleground electorate — compared to 30% in our national poll last month. The non-Trump conservatives are a healthy 16% of Republicans, but there are just fewer moderates, 9%, in the battleground.” Continue reading.