Want to Know More About: Primaries and the Mid-Term Elections

Steve Kornacki: “Arizona, Look Its Been 30 Years Since They Elected A Democrat To The Us Senate. The Most Recent Polling Has Kyrsten Sinema Up Four Points Over McSally. So Walking In To The General Election There, Certainly The Best Position A Democrat’s Been In 30 Years.” STEVE KORNACKI: “Talk about the trump and volatility factor, too, in looks like, and it is, mcsally won resoundingly. Show the numbers again and add up the other votes, close to 50%. We’ll tally and see how close they come. Mystery around the question, why wa Joe arpaio in his race in the first place? 86 years old. Just pardoned last year. 47%, add it up, still a considerable amount to come in. Some indications arpaio might have gotten in the race, folks around him who were on that trump side of the party who were disgruntled with Kelly ward. So what you basically did was, you saw a perfect split almost right down the middle of the trump wing of the party there that allows mcsally to come up and win. It is. 24-point margin over ward. Trump wing versus non-trump, almost at 50/50. The biggest factor in the race for mcsally, arpaio got in the race, split the vote well. Looking ahead to the general election, Arizona, look its been 30 years since they elected a Democrat to the US Senate. The most recent polling, Kyrsten Sinema up four points over mcsally. So walking in to the general election there, certainly the best position a Democrat’s been in 30 years.” [Morning Joe, MSNBC, 8/29/18; VIDEO]

Michael Steele: “So There Are A Lot Of Dynamics On The Ground Here That Are Going To Be Taking Shape And Forming This Race Between DeSantis And Gillum Which Could Have A Ripple Effect On A Bunch Of Other Races As Well.” MICHAEL STEELE: “Yes. Absolutely. Gillum could have the effect of pulling out a lot more of that democratic vote. In fact, if you peel back a little of the numbers and Steve has done a phenomenal job doing that over the last 18 hours or so, you’ll see that the young vote turned out. That there was a youth vote, if you will, that really coalesced around Gillum. With that along with other energies that are currently on the ground there in Florida, the anti-Trump feel and all of that, it could be a nice setup where you could have Gillum actually pulling and creating coattails for the Democrats up and down the line. Here’s the other side of that conversation, I think, you need to take into account as well. We don’t yet know fully what the full measure of the trump vote is in Florida two years later. And so I think that’s going to be something very interesting to watch, too. You’ll also have the overlay of race playing out in Florida along with the sort of the philosophical differences, if you will. So there are a lot of dynamics on the ground here that are going to be taking shape and forming this race between Desantis and Gillum which could have a ripple effect on a bunch of other races as well.” [Morning Joe, MSNBC, 8/29/18; VIDEO] Continue reading “Want to Know More About: Primaries and the Mid-Term Elections”

Trump grabs midterm spotlight

The following article by Lisa Hagen was posted on the Hill website July 29, 2018:

He may not be on the ballot in November, but with 100 days to go before the midterms, the critical race for control of Congress has become all about President Trump.

Midterms have traditionally been referendums on the president and the party in power, but Trump has had an influence over this year’s race in a way that strategists say they have never seen before. And that could be a double-edged sword — for both Democrats and Republicans.

Republicans have hitched themselves completely to the president, making primaries a competition over who can sound and act most like Trump. But with Trump’s approval rating stuck in the mid-40s, that loyalty to the president could backfire should his numbers not start improving soon.

View the complete article here

Republicans warn Trump of 2018 bloodbath

The following article by Alex Isenstadt was posted on the Politico website December 21, 2017:

The White House knows the midterm election will probably be bad. Behind the scenes, top aides are scrambling to avoid the worst.

Republican National Committee chairwoman Ronna Romney McDaniel, pictured with President Donald Trump, presented the White House with a memo about the party’s poor standing with female voters several weeks before Alabama voters headed to the polls for the Dec. 12 special election. | Susan Walsh/AP Photo

A few weeks before Alabama’s special Senate election, President Donald Trump’s handpicked Republican National Committee leader, Ronna Romney McDaniel, delivered a two-page memo to White House chief of staff John Kelly outlining the party’s collapse with female voters.

The warning, several people close to the chairwoman said, reflected deepening anxiety that a full-throated Trump endorsement of accused child molester Roy Moore in the special election — which the president was edging closer to at the time — would further damage the party’s standing with women. McDaniel’s memo, which detailed the president’s poor approval numbers among women nationally and in several states, would go unheeded, as Trump eventually went all-in for the ultimately unsuccessful Republican candidate. Continue reading “Republicans warn Trump of 2018 bloodbath”